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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.06+4.07vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.42+2.14vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+3.53vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.15+0.82vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.79+0.71vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.12-1.17vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02+0.91vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-0.43+1.06vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California0.58-2.61vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.62-3.80vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-1.01-0.64vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.55-2.44vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-0.90-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.07University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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4.14University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.2%1st Place
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6.53University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
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4.82University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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5.71University of California at San Diego0.790.1%1st Place
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4.83California Poly Maritime Academy1.120.1%1st Place
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7.91Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
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9.06University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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6.39University of Southern California0.580.1%1st Place
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6.2University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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10.36Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
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9.56University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
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10.43Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marianna Shand | 12.0% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Ted McDonough | 17.4% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 12.5% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Maxwell Roth | 12.8% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Florence Duff | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 8.7% | 4.7% |
| Braedon Hansen | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 17.0% | 12.1% |
| Marlo Bozza | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Erin Pamplin | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Anna Morrow | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 15.1% | 18.6% | 29.3% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 19.0% | 17.6% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 20.1% | 30.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.