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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.15+3.80vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.42+2.16vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.12+1.93vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.58+2.35vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.62+1.17vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.79-0.31vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.06-2.03vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-0.43+1.07vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-0.85vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-3.56vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.55-1.73vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-0.90-1.63vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-1.01-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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4.16University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.2%1st Place
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4.93California Poly Maritime Academy1.120.1%1st Place
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6.35University of Southern California0.580.1%1st Place
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6.17University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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5.69University of California at San Diego0.790.1%1st Place
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4.97University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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9.07University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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8.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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6.44University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
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9.27University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
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10.37Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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10.64Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercy Tangredi | 13.3% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Ted McDonough | 16.3% | 17.1% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Roth | 11.9% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Marlo Bozza | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Erin Pamplin | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Marianna Shand | 13.0% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 17.6% | 11.0% |
| Florence Duff | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 6.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 16.9% | 13.2% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 20.0% | 30.4% |
| Anna Morrow | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 12.9% | 20.4% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.