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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.15+3.79vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.42+2.07vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California0.58+3.37vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.06+0.98vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.43+1.58vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-0.43+3.01vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.12-2.25vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.79-2.30vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-2.54vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.55-0.62vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-0.90-0.89vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-3.81vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-1.01-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.79University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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4.07University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.2%1st Place
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6.37University of Southern California0.580.1%1st Place
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4.98University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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6.58University of Washington0.430.1%1st Place
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9.01University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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4.75California Poly Maritime Academy1.120.1%1st Place
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5.7University of California at San Diego0.790.1%1st Place
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6.46University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
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9.38University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
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10.11Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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8.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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10.62Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercy Tangredi | 13.3% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ted McDonough | 18.0% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Marlo Bozza | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Marianna Shand | 12.5% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Maxwell Miller | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 17.8% | 10.2% |
| Maxwell Roth | 14.9% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Blake Roberts | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 17.6% | 16.5% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 14.9% | 18.2% | 26.0% |
| Florence Duff | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 9.7% | 6.7% |
| Anna Morrow | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 18.4% | 35.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.