Race 1A

icebreaker-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Adam Larzelere 22.7% 20.3% 17.1% 13.3% 10.7% 7.4% 3.7% 2.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
Iain Jaeger 11.1% 11.2% 12.3% 12.4% 11.0% 11.5% 10.0% 8.1% 6.7% 5.2% 0.5%
William Wiegand 9.1% 9.4% 10.1% 10.6% 11.1% 10.3% 11.7% 10.3% 9.2% 6.8% 1.4%
Niall Sheridan 12.1% 12.4% 11.5% 13.4% 12.4% 10.7% 9.8% 8.5% 5.0% 3.2% 1.0%
Gavin Sanborn 12.6% 11.6% 11.9% 9.4% 11.1% 10.1% 11.5% 8.3% 7.6% 4.6% 1.3%
William Procter 1.0% 1.5% 1.2% 1.7% 2.0% 3.9% 3.5% 5.0% 6.5% 12.7% 61.0%
Andy Leshaw 7.5% 6.7% 7.9% 8.1% 8.6% 9.6% 10.8% 13.5% 11.3% 11.0% 5.0%
Keller Morrison 9.6% 10.2% 11.5% 10.5% 10.4% 11.5% 8.9% 9.7% 9.4% 6.4% 1.9%
Sylvia Burns 5.1% 6.4% 4.8% 7.7% 7.2% 9.3% 10.1% 12.2% 14.1% 13.9% 9.2%
Harry Stevenson 4.6% 5.3% 5.8% 5.7% 7.2% 8.3% 9.5% 10.4% 14.1% 18.8% 10.3%
Sean Crandall 4.6% 5.0% 5.9% 7.2% 8.3% 7.4% 10.5% 11.1% 14.6% 17.1% 8.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.