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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+7.60vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.48+5.75vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.33+5.34vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.86+5.93vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.79+1.31vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.50+1.48vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.67-0.22vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.50-0.60vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.23-0.54vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-1.50vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.22-2.28vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.39-3.76vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.02-3.69vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy1.21+1.39vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.11-2.06vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61-4.86vs Predicted
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17Columbia University2.07-3.75vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.21-5.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.6Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.75Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.34Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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9.93University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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6.31Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.48Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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6.78Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.4Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.46Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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8.72College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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8.24Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.31University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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15.39U. S. Naval Academy1.210.0%1st Place
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12.94Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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11.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
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13.25Columbia University2.070.0%1st Place
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12.44Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Natalie Salk | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 10.9% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Emily Maxwell | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Emily Lambert | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Krysta Rohde | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Corey Hall | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Morgan Wilson | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Laura Burzenski | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 13.9% | 46.7% |
| Mia Cooper | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 16.3% | 12.6% |
| Katherine Gullick | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 5.3% |
| Melissa Bermudez | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 13.8% | 18.4% | 14.5% |
| Erica Lush | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 14.6% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.