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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.79+5.39vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.81+4.50vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.64+1.65vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.09+4.44vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.82+5.21vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.18+3.36vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.74+4.14vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.77-1.78vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.42+2.98vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.07-0.68vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.09-2.13vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00-2.43vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.68-2.39vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.69-7.02vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.31-2.45vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.49-4.33vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University-0.84-4.40vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-4.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.39Cornell University1.7910.1%1st Place
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6.5College of Charleston1.818.6%1st Place
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4.65Stanford University2.6416.8%1st Place
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8.44University of South Florida1.096.3%1st Place
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10.21Jacksonville University0.823.0%1st Place
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9.36U. S. Naval Academy1.184.9%1st Place
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11.14University of Washington0.743.0%1st Place
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6.22University of Pennsylvania1.7710.2%1st Place
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11.98University of Rhode Island0.422.0%1st Place
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9.32George Washington University1.075.3%1st Place
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8.87North Carolina State University1.094.4%1st Place
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9.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.005.0%1st Place
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10.61Old Dominion University0.683.5%1st Place
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6.98Brown University1.699.2%1st Place
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12.55University of Wisconsin0.311.9%1st Place
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11.67Roger Williams University0.492.2%1st Place
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12.6Christopher Newport University-0.842.1%1st Place
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13.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Devling | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Freeman | 16.8% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Agija Elerte | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
| Ava Farley | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Erin Pamplin | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Katie Coughlin | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Laura Slovensky | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Megan Geith | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| Katherine McNamara | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 13.9% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% |
| Laura Smith | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 15.6% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.