Race 2A

icebreaker-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Adam Larzelere 24.1% 19.6% 14.1% 14.6% 11.8% 7.5% 4.3% 2.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Niall Sheridan 13.2% 13.6% 14.3% 13.6% 9.2% 10.8% 9.4% 6.6% 6.3% 2.3% 0.7%
Gavin Sanborn 9.8% 10.5% 12.0% 11.1% 10.0% 11.6% 11.8% 9.9% 8.3% 3.6% 1.4%
Iain Jaeger 10.4% 10.0% 12.9% 10.3% 12.6% 10.4% 10.5% 9.0% 8.2% 4.4% 1.3%
Keller Morrison 10.0% 9.8% 10.2% 9.6% 10.5% 10.9% 9.9% 10.7% 8.6% 8.1% 1.7%
William Wiegand 9.4% 11.7% 9.6% 11.7% 11.8% 10.0% 10.0% 9.7% 7.1% 6.7% 2.3%
Andy Leshaw 7.2% 7.3% 7.7% 7.0% 9.5% 10.9% 9.7% 11.7% 12.9% 11.3% 4.8%
Sean Crandall 5.1% 4.4% 5.5% 6.9% 7.9% 9.6% 8.8% 11.2% 12.0% 18.2% 10.4%
Harry Stevenson 4.0% 5.4% 4.3% 6.1% 6.8% 6.2% 10.2% 11.1% 15.8% 17.6% 12.5%
William Procter 1.4% 1.2% 1.3% 2.1% 2.4% 3.2% 3.6% 5.0% 7.7% 13.3% 58.8%
Sylvia Burns 5.4% 6.5% 8.1% 7.0% 7.5% 8.9% 11.8% 12.8% 12.0% 13.9% 6.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.