Race 3A

icebreaker-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Niall Sheridan 11.5% 13.1% 13.1% 12.3% 12.2% 11.6% 10.6% 7.7% 5.2% 1.9% 0.8%
William Wiegand 10.3% 10.0% 10.8% 9.6% 11.5% 10.8% 11.1% 10.4% 8.3% 5.9% 1.3%
Adam Larzelere 22.7% 19.6% 16.7% 13.1% 10.6% 6.8% 4.9% 3.1% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Keller Morrison 8.2% 9.1% 8.7% 9.8% 11.4% 12.9% 10.4% 11.4% 9.0% 6.5% 2.6%
Harry Stevenson 4.4% 4.9% 4.9% 7.4% 5.6% 8.2% 8.3% 10.4% 15.6% 20.0% 10.3%
Gavin Sanborn 10.8% 12.1% 11.2% 10.5% 12.4% 11.5% 9.7% 7.8% 6.0% 6.0% 2.0%
Andy Leshaw 7.9% 6.2% 7.5% 7.5% 9.1% 9.7% 11.8% 11.4% 12.5% 11.4% 5.0%
Iain Jaeger 12.4% 10.9% 14.4% 12.3% 10.2% 9.3% 10.0% 9.0% 6.7% 3.8% 1.0%
William Procter 1.3% 1.8% 1.6% 1.8% 2.2% 2.5% 2.7% 5.7% 6.4% 12.1% 61.9%
Sylvia Burns 6.1% 6.3% 6.3% 8.1% 7.1% 8.7% 11.2% 12.2% 12.9% 14.6% 6.5%
Sean Crandall 4.4% 6.0% 4.8% 7.6% 7.7% 8.0% 9.3% 10.9% 15.3% 17.4% 8.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.