Race 4A

icebreaker-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Adam Larzelere 22.7% 21.0% 15.3% 14.2% 11.6% 7.1% 4.2% 2.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Niall Sheridan 12.7% 14.0% 13.7% 13.1% 11.1% 10.1% 8.6% 8.7% 4.8% 2.5% 0.7%
Gavin Sanborn 10.3% 9.4% 11.6% 12.2% 11.6% 11.1% 10.2% 9.8% 7.7% 4.3% 1.8%
William Wiegand 9.5% 9.1% 9.7% 11.2% 11.4% 12.0% 10.4% 10.6% 8.8% 5.1% 2.2%
Iain Jaeger 12.2% 11.9% 11.2% 11.1% 10.8% 11.3% 9.6% 9.1% 6.5% 5.0% 1.3%
Sylvia Burns 5.1% 5.9% 7.2% 6.1% 8.7% 8.6% 11.1% 11.1% 13.5% 15.3% 7.4%
Sean Crandall 5.0% 5.3% 5.5% 6.4% 7.6% 8.8% 10.4% 11.3% 13.4% 15.1% 11.2%
William Procter 1.8% 0.7% 1.5% 1.8% 2.3% 2.9% 3.1% 5.0% 10.1% 14.6% 56.2%
Harry Stevenson 4.2% 4.6% 5.0% 5.9% 6.9% 7.8% 8.6% 10.8% 14.6% 19.7% 11.9%
Keller Morrison 10.6% 10.3% 10.6% 9.5% 10.1% 11.5% 12.0% 9.0% 8.6% 6.1% 1.7%
Andy Leshaw 5.9% 7.8% 8.7% 8.5% 7.9% 8.8% 11.8% 12.2% 11.2% 11.6% 5.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.