Race 5A

icebreaker-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Niall Sheridan 11.4% 15.2% 12.4% 13.6% 12.7% 10.8% 9.9% 7.5% 3.9% 2.1% 0.5%
Sean Crandall 4.8% 4.3% 5.8% 6.5% 7.7% 8.0% 8.0% 11.9% 14.8% 18.8% 9.4%
William Wiegand 9.3% 9.5% 10.8% 11.2% 11.6% 10.7% 10.6% 9.7% 9.7% 5.3% 1.6%
Caitlin Derby 7.6% 8.8% 8.4% 10.2% 9.9% 11.0% 12.2% 12.2% 10.0% 6.7% 3.0%
Iain Jaeger 12.3% 13.3% 10.5% 11.9% 10.4% 11.9% 8.0% 9.7% 6.3% 4.7% 1.0%
Adam Larzelere 25.5% 19.8% 18.3% 10.6% 9.3% 6.9% 4.7% 2.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.2%
Keller Morrison 10.7% 9.7% 13.0% 10.1% 11.9% 9.4% 10.8% 9.0% 8.4% 5.2% 1.8%
Harry Stevenson 4.9% 4.3% 4.9% 8.6% 6.8% 8.8% 10.2% 9.3% 12.6% 19.5% 10.1%
Sylvia Burns 5.5% 6.1% 6.0% 6.8% 8.0% 8.5% 12.2% 11.1% 13.1% 14.1% 8.6%
William Procter 1.5% 1.2% 1.4% 2.5% 2.5% 2.3% 3.9% 4.8% 9.4% 11.7% 58.8%
Andy Leshaw 6.5% 7.8% 8.5% 8.0% 9.2% 11.7% 9.5% 12.4% 9.9% 11.5% 5.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.