Race 1B

icebreaker-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Clark Morris 35.2% 24.7% 15.3% 10.3% 7.8% 3.9% 1.5% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Richard Kalich 6.9% 5.5% 9.0% 8.4% 10.2% 10.7% 14.4% 15.8% 14.7% 4.4%
Greta Shuster 2.8% 3.4% 3.9% 5.1% 5.0% 7.7% 7.7% 15.8% 32.4% 16.2%
Annecy Kagan 9.5% 13.3% 13.9% 14.8% 12.9% 11.9% 10.2% 8.3% 4.9% 0.3%
Willem Weinberg 10.2% 10.2% 11.1% 10.7% 12.0% 12.8% 15.2% 9.8% 6.7% 1.3%
Audrey Commerford 11.0% 11.7% 12.4% 13.7% 12.4% 13.2% 9.6% 10.8% 3.9% 1.3%
Daniel van Heeckeren 7.7% 10.8% 11.6% 12.8% 12.1% 13.8% 12.8% 10.0% 6.5% 1.9%
Oliver Dietter 10.4% 12.7% 12.6% 11.7% 13.2% 13.0% 12.2% 8.0% 5.6% 0.6%
John Van Zanten 5.7% 6.9% 8.9% 11.1% 12.1% 10.2% 13.0% 16.3% 12.3% 3.5%
Olivia Fulghum 0.6% 0.8% 1.3% 1.4% 2.3% 2.8% 3.4% 4.4% 12.5% 70.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.