← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.93+1.55vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island0.59+3.09vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont0.76+1.76vs Predicted
-
4Bates College-0.56+3.46vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University0.74-0.30vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26-0.28vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University0.81-2.44vs Predicted
-
9Boston University0.16-3.06vs Predicted
-
10Brown University0.58-4.93vs Predicted
-
11Middlebury College-1.80-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.55Tufts University1.930.4%1st Place
-
5.09University of Rhode Island0.590.1%1st Place
-
4.76University of Vermont0.760.1%1st Place
-
7.46Bates College-0.560.0%1st Place
-
4.7Northeastern University0.740.1%1st Place
-
5.72Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
-
4.56Tufts University0.810.1%1st Place
-
5.94Boston University0.160.0%1st Place
-
5.07Brown University0.580.1%1st Place
-
9.14Middlebury College-1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Morris | 36.0% | 24.7% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Willem Weinberg | 9.5% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 1.5% |
| Audrey Commerford | 10.8% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Greta Shuster | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 15.2% | 30.3% | 16.6% |
| Oliver Dietter | 10.8% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| John Van Zanten | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 3.8% |
| Annecy Kagan | 9.4% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Richard Kalich | 4.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 3.8% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 7.8% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 6.3% | 1.8% |
| Olivia Fulghum | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 13.2% | 69.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.