Race 3B

icebreaker-invitational

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Clark Morris 38.7% 25.2% 13.7% 11.0% 5.6% 3.7% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Audrey Commerford 11.1% 11.7% 16.3% 14.3% 12.7% 15.0% 9.4% 6.7% 2.5% 0.3%
Annecy Kagan 11.6% 13.0% 13.8% 13.5% 16.3% 13.7% 11.4% 4.6% 2.1% 0.0%
Richard Kalich 4.7% 7.3% 10.9% 10.7% 11.9% 14.7% 16.6% 16.2% 6.3% 0.7%
Oliver Dietter 11.5% 12.4% 14.5% 13.5% 15.0% 13.5% 10.4% 7.0% 1.9% 0.3%
Daniel van Heeckeren 10.7% 11.8% 11.5% 13.7% 13.7% 12.7% 13.0% 10.8% 2.0% 0.1%
Willem Weinberg 7.8% 12.7% 12.2% 14.7% 15.0% 13.2% 13.1% 8.6% 2.2% 0.5%
Greta Shuster 2.7% 3.9% 5.5% 5.4% 6.7% 8.4% 15.5% 27.5% 18.6% 5.8%
Olivia Fulghum 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.9% 1.8% 3.0% 5.3% 12.1% 37.6% 35.1%
Olyn Jacobson 0.4% 0.8% 0.4% 1.3% 1.3% 2.1% 3.4% 6.3% 26.8% 57.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.