Race 4B

icebreaker-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Clark Morris 38.3% 24.7% 14.5% 11.3% 6.5% 2.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Annecy Kagan 11.8% 13.5% 15.7% 12.6% 13.1% 13.6% 11.6% 6.2% 1.7% 0.2%
Oliver Dietter 11.3% 11.2% 12.9% 13.3% 16.7% 14.2% 11.6% 6.2% 2.4% 0.2%
Daniel van Heeckeren 7.9% 11.4% 13.5% 13.5% 14.0% 14.4% 14.9% 7.3% 2.7% 0.4%
Greta Shuster 3.6% 4.6% 5.2% 6.1% 6.0% 8.4% 14.2% 28.4% 18.5% 5.0%
Olivia Fulghum 1.2% 1.3% 1.9% 1.7% 1.9% 3.5% 5.0% 11.9% 37.7% 33.9%
Willem Weinberg 8.6% 11.4% 12.6% 13.9% 15.5% 14.3% 10.7% 9.6% 3.2% 0.2%
Audrey Commerford 11.1% 13.7% 13.7% 14.1% 14.0% 13.5% 11.3% 6.2% 2.1% 0.3%
Olyn Jacobson 0.5% 1.0% 0.9% 1.2% 1.1% 2.3% 2.3% 7.3% 24.8% 58.6%
Richard Kalich 5.7% 7.2% 9.1% 12.3% 11.2% 13.5% 16.7% 16.3% 6.8% 1.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.