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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.93+1.38vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.81+2.29vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.56+3.94vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.58+0.70vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.59-0.35vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.74-1.61vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.16-1.47vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.76-3.68vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.80-0.37vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.27-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Tufts University1.930.4%1st Place
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4.29Tufts University0.810.1%1st Place
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6.94Bates College-0.560.0%1st Place
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4.7Brown University0.580.1%1st Place
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4.65University of Rhode Island0.590.1%1st Place
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4.39Northeastern University0.740.1%1st Place
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5.53Boston University0.160.1%1st Place
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4.32University of Vermont0.760.1%1st Place
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8.63Middlebury College-1.800.0%1st Place
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9.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Morris | 37.9% | 24.9% | 16.2% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annecy Kagan | 11.3% | 12.6% | 16.3% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Greta Shuster | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 13.2% | 29.1% | 20.7% | 5.4% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 7.6% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Willem Weinberg | 10.9% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Dietter | 11.2% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 16.0% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Richard Kalich | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 19.6% | 14.9% | 6.2% | 0.7% |
| Audrey Commerford | 11.6% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Fulghum | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 12.4% | 37.9% | 34.4% |
| Olyn Jacobson | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 7.9% | 24.0% | 58.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.