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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+7.90vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.50+5.93vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.50+4.92vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.79+2.55vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.33+3.35vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.48+1.76vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+1.54vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.67-1.01vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.86+1.41vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.39-1.51vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.02-1.10vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.21+1.34vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61-1.74vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.22-5.37vs Predicted
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15Columbia University2.07-1.54vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.11-2.55vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.88-6.51vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.23-9.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.9Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.93Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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7.92Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.55Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.35Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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7.76Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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6.99Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.41University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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8.49Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.9University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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13.34Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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11.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
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8.63College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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13.46Columbia University2.070.0%1st Place
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13.45Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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10.49U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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8.64Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Emily Maxwell | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Krysta Rohde | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 8.7% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% |
| Morgan Wilson | 7.7% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Erica Lush | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 14.9% | 22.3% |
| Katherine Gullick | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% |
| Corey Hall | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Melissa Bermudez | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 15.8% | 22.1% |
| Mia Cooper | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 23.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 4.4% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.