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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+3.65vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.07+7.34vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.42+9.00vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.69+3.03vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.81+1.26vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University-0.84+6.61vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.82+3.18vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00+1.72vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.79-2.41vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.49+1.90vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy1.18-1.41vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.09-3.10vs Predicted
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13University of Washington0.74-1.51vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.31-1.35vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.09-6.54vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-1.95vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University0.97-7.56vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania1.77-11.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.65Stanford University2.6416.4%1st Place
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9.34George Washington University1.074.9%1st Place
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12.0University of Rhode Island0.422.2%1st Place
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7.03Brown University1.698.6%1st Place
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6.26College of Charleston1.8110.2%1st Place
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12.61Christopher Newport University-0.842.4%1st Place
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10.18Jacksonville University0.824.4%1st Place
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9.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.003.8%1st Place
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6.59Cornell University1.799.0%1st Place
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11.9Roger Williams University0.493.0%1st Place
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9.59U. S. Naval Academy1.184.8%1st Place
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8.9North Carolina State University1.094.7%1st Place
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11.49University of Washington0.742.5%1st Place
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12.65University of Wisconsin0.311.9%1st Place
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8.46University of South Florida1.095.8%1st Place
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14.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.1%1st Place
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9.44Old Dominion University0.974.1%1st Place
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6.16University of Pennsylvania1.7710.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 16.4% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Katie Coughlin | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% |
| Katherine McNamara | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Emma Tallman | 10.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Laura Smith | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 14.4% |
| Agija Elerte | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
| Laura Slovensky | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Sophia Devling | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McGagh | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.2% |
| Ava Farley | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Erin Pamplin | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 14.5% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 28.1% |
| Gianna Dewey | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% |
| Sofia Segalla | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.