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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.12+2.94vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.09-0.27vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.23+1.48vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina1.28-1.45vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-0.20-0.51vs Predicted
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6Wake Forest University0.10-1.94vs Predicted
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7University of Georgia-2.97-0.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.94University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.120.1%1st Place
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1.73College of Charleston2.090.5%1st Place
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4.48North Carolina State University-0.230.1%1st Place
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2.55University of South Carolina1.280.2%1st Place
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4.49University of North Carolina-0.200.0%1st Place
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4.06Wake Forest University0.100.1%1st Place
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6.75University of Georgia-2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Patin | 7.5% | 13.1% | 17.6% | 22.1% | 21.2% | 16.6% | 1.9% |
| Harrison Thomson | 53.6% | 28.1% | 12.0% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Will Finch | 5.8% | 7.1% | 13.9% | 17.0% | 22.8% | 29.4% | 4.0% |
| David Manley | 22.8% | 30.8% | 23.5% | 15.1% | 6.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kathleen Hale | 4.3% | 7.7% | 14.5% | 18.6% | 22.7% | 27.4% | 4.8% |
| Johnny Perkins | 5.7% | 12.8% | 17.6% | 21.0% | 22.0% | 18.7% | 2.2% |
| Emma Pope | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 6.5% | 87.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.