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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University0.97+8.56vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.64+2.77vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.81+3.31vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.79+2.60vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.42+6.76vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.09+2.88vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.77-0.87vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.07+1.44vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00+0.64vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.74+1.33vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.49+0.63vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.69-4.94vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.31-0.29vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.09-5.59vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University-0.84-2.26vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University0.82-5.52vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-2.99vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy1.18-8.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.56Old Dominion University0.974.5%1st Place
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4.77Stanford University2.6417.4%1st Place
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6.31College of Charleston1.818.8%1st Place
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6.6Cornell University1.799.2%1st Place
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11.76University of Rhode Island0.422.5%1st Place
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8.88North Carolina State University1.095.5%1st Place
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6.13University of Pennsylvania1.7711.1%1st Place
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9.44George Washington University1.073.9%1st Place
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9.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.004.7%1st Place
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11.33University of Washington0.743.1%1st Place
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11.63Roger Williams University0.492.5%1st Place
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7.06Brown University1.697.8%1st Place
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12.71University of Wisconsin0.312.1%1st Place
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8.41University of South Florida1.096.2%1st Place
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12.74Christopher Newport University-0.841.7%1st Place
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10.48Jacksonville University0.823.9%1st Place
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14.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.2%1st Place
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9.56U. S. Naval Academy1.184.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianna Dewey | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Hannah Freeman | 17.4% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 8.8% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Katie Coughlin | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.9% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Sofia Segalla | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Laura Slovensky | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% |
| Erin Pamplin | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 8.3% |
| Katherine McNamara | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 16.2% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Laura Smith | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 14.6% |
| Agija Elerte | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 28.9% |
| Ava Farley | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.