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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.09+0.72vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.28+0.53vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.23+1.50vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.12+0.05vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-0.20-0.55vs Predicted
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6Wake Forest University0.10-1.99vs Predicted
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7University of Georgia-2.97-0.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.72College of Charleston2.090.5%1st Place
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2.53University of South Carolina1.280.2%1st Place
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4.5North Carolina State University-0.230.1%1st Place
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4.05University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.120.1%1st Place
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4.45University of North Carolina-0.200.0%1st Place
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4.01Wake Forest University0.100.1%1st Place
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6.75University of Georgia-2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Thomson | 54.7% | 26.1% | 13.4% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| David Manley | 22.2% | 33.6% | 22.5% | 14.7% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Will Finch | 5.2% | 6.8% | 13.3% | 18.7% | 23.9% | 28.1% | 4.0% |
| Nicholas Patin | 5.8% | 12.6% | 16.4% | 22.7% | 22.9% | 17.7% | 1.9% |
| Kathleen Hale | 4.6% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 18.6% | 21.9% | 27.2% | 4.8% |
| Johnny Perkins | 7.4% | 11.0% | 19.8% | 19.1% | 22.7% | 17.8% | 2.2% |
| Emma Pope | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 6.8% | 87.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.