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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of North Carolina-0.20+3.38vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.09-0.30vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina1.28-0.48vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.23+0.56vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.12-0.93vs Predicted
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6Wake Forest University0.10-1.96vs Predicted
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7University of Georgia-2.97-0.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38University of North Carolina-0.200.1%1st Place
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1.7College of Charleston2.090.5%1st Place
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2.52University of South Carolina1.280.2%1st Place
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4.56North Carolina State University-0.230.0%1st Place
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4.07University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.120.1%1st Place
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4.04Wake Forest University0.100.1%1st Place
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6.74University of Georgia-2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kathleen Hale | 5.7% | 8.0% | 14.3% | 20.8% | 21.2% | 26.3% | 3.7% |
| Harrison Thomson | 54.9% | 28.3% | 10.9% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 22.6% | 33.1% | 23.6% | 13.4% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Will Finch | 3.7% | 7.7% | 13.2% | 18.0% | 23.8% | 29.3% | 4.3% |
| Nicholas Patin | 6.5% | 10.7% | 18.2% | 21.2% | 23.4% | 17.5% | 2.5% |
| Johnny Perkins | 6.2% | 11.9% | 18.7% | 20.7% | 21.8% | 18.8% | 1.9% |
| Emma Pope | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 87.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.