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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.09+0.72vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.28+0.52vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.12+1.03vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.23+0.54vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-0.20-0.55vs Predicted
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6Wake Forest University0.10-2.00vs Predicted
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7University of Georgia-2.97-0.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.72College of Charleston2.090.5%1st Place
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2.52University of South Carolina1.280.2%1st Place
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4.03University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.120.1%1st Place
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4.54North Carolina State University-0.230.0%1st Place
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4.45University of North Carolina-0.200.0%1st Place
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4.0Wake Forest University0.100.1%1st Place
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6.74University of Georgia-2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Thomson | 54.6% | 27.1% | 12.3% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| David Manley | 22.9% | 32.4% | 23.3% | 14.6% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Patin | 6.5% | 10.7% | 18.8% | 22.4% | 22.9% | 16.3% | 2.4% |
| Will Finch | 4.1% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 17.6% | 25.2% | 28.7% | 4.0% |
| Kathleen Hale | 4.6% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 18.6% | 22.1% | 27.5% | 4.6% |
| Johnny Perkins | 7.2% | 11.7% | 19.0% | 20.6% | 20.7% | 18.9% | 1.9% |
| Emma Pope | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 6.7% | 86.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.