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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.09+0.72vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.28+0.52vs Predicted
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3Wake Forest University0.10+1.07vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina-0.20+0.48vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.23-0.50vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.12-2.02vs Predicted
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7University of Georgia-2.97-0.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.72College of Charleston2.090.5%1st Place
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2.52University of South Carolina1.280.2%1st Place
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4.07Wake Forest University0.100.1%1st Place
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4.48University of North Carolina-0.200.0%1st Place
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4.5North Carolina State University-0.230.0%1st Place
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3.98University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.120.1%1st Place
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6.74University of Georgia-2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Thomson | 54.5% | 27.1% | 12.7% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| David Manley | 22.7% | 32.8% | 23.5% | 14.2% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Johnny Perkins | 6.5% | 10.3% | 18.3% | 21.5% | 24.3% | 16.6% | 2.5% |
| Kathleen Hale | 4.2% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 19.2% | 24.5% | 27.7% | 3.4% |
| Will Finch | 4.6% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 18.2% | 22.3% | 27.7% | 5.6% |
| Nicholas Patin | 7.4% | 11.7% | 19.3% | 20.9% | 20.0% | 19.0% | 1.7% |
| Emma Pope | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 6.9% | 86.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.