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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.09+0.75vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.28+0.53vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.23+1.49vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.12+0.06vs Predicted
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5University of Georgia-2.97+1.81vs Predicted
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6Wake Forest University0.10-1.96vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-0.20-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.75College of Charleston2.090.5%1st Place
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2.53University of South Carolina1.280.2%1st Place
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4.49North Carolina State University-0.230.1%1st Place
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4.06University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.120.1%1st Place
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6.81University of Georgia-2.970.0%1st Place
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4.04Wake Forest University0.100.1%1st Place
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4.32University of North Carolina-0.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Thomson | 53.5% | 27.0% | 13.0% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 21.8% | 33.9% | 23.2% | 14.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Will Finch | 5.1% | 7.5% | 12.5% | 18.5% | 23.8% | 29.6% | 3.0% |
| Nicholas Patin | 5.8% | 11.7% | 17.8% | 21.5% | 22.9% | 19.0% | 1.3% |
| Emma Pope | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 90.3% |
| Johnny Perkins | 7.3% | 10.4% | 19.4% | 19.7% | 22.5% | 18.3% | 2.4% |
| Kathleen Hale | 6.2% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 20.1% | 22.2% | 25.7% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.