← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.12+0.16vs Predicted
-
2University of North Carolina-0.51+0.90vs Predicted
-
3Wake Forest University-2.64+2.45vs Predicted
-
4University of South Carolina-2.08+0.82vs Predicted
-
5North Carolina State University-0.76-1.80vs Predicted
-
6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76-1.62vs Predicted
-
7University of Georgia-3.34-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.16College of Charleston2.120.9%1st Place
-
2.9University of North Carolina-0.510.1%1st Place
-
5.45Wake Forest University-2.640.0%1st Place
-
4.82University of South Carolina-2.080.0%1st Place
-
3.2North Carolina State University-0.760.1%1st Place
-
4.38University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
-
6.09University of Georgia-3.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliott Raison | 86.0% | 12.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 5.7% | 37.7% | 29.7% | 17.4% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Mary Outland | 1.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 20.1% | 31.1% | 27.3% |
| Robert Gates | 0.6% | 6.4% | 11.7% | 19.2% | 25.5% | 26.9% | 9.7% |
| Tucker Parks | 5.1% | 27.3% | 30.7% | 22.3% | 9.8% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 1.3% | 9.6% | 16.1% | 23.9% | 26.2% | 17.4% | 5.5% |
| Garrett Holt | 0.2% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 18.3% | 56.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.