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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+3.75vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.07+7.47vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.77+3.41vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.79+2.59vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.81+1.54vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.99+0.05vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.18+2.80vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.09+0.86vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University0.97+0.61vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.74+1.31vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.09-2.57vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.49-0.17vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.42-1.09vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University-0.84-1.31vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00-5.27vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University0.82-5.73vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-3.05vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin0.31-5.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75Stanford University2.6415.8%1st Place
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9.47George Washington University1.074.5%1st Place
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6.41University of Pennsylvania1.778.5%1st Place
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6.59Cornell University1.799.8%1st Place
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6.54College of Charleston1.8110.2%1st Place
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6.05Brown University1.9910.2%1st Place
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9.8U. S. Naval Academy1.184.5%1st Place
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8.86North Carolina State University1.095.9%1st Place
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9.61Old Dominion University0.974.5%1st Place
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11.31University of Washington0.742.5%1st Place
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8.43University of South Florida1.095.5%1st Place
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11.83Roger Williams University0.492.5%1st Place
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11.91University of Rhode Island0.422.5%1st Place
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12.69Christopher Newport University-0.841.9%1st Place
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9.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.004.2%1st Place
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10.27Jacksonville University0.823.9%1st Place
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13.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.1%1st Place
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12.79University of Wisconsin0.311.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 15.8% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 8.5% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Emma Tallman | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ava Farley | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Gianna Dewey | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Erin Pamplin | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.2% |
| Katie Coughlin | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.8% |
| Laura Smith | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 14.7% |
| Laura Slovensky | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Agija Elerte | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 28.2% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 16.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.