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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.33+7.67vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.50+5.95vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.39+5.39vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.02+5.68vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.48+2.77vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.88+4.34vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.50+0.73vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.79-1.52vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.27-0.39vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-1.20vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.67-3.83vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.86-1.20vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.22-4.28vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.23-5.47vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61-3.58vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.21-2.89vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.11-3.56vs Predicted
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18Columbia University2.07-4.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.67Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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7.95Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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8.39Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.68University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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7.77Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.34U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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7.73Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.48Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.61Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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8.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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7.17Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.8University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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8.72College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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8.53Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
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13.11Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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13.44Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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13.36Columbia University2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Emily Maxwell | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Morgan Wilson | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 10.3% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Krysta Rohde | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Emily Lambert | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 5.8% |
| Corey Hall | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% |
| Katherine Gullick | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 7.8% |
| Erica Lush | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 19.2% |
| Mia Cooper | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 15.5% | 23.6% |
| Melissa Bermudez | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.