← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.12+0.15vs Predicted
-
2Wake Forest University-2.64+3.43vs Predicted
-
3University of Georgia-3.34+3.17vs Predicted
-
4University of North Carolina-0.51-1.06vs Predicted
-
5North Carolina State University-0.76-1.82vs Predicted
-
6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76-1.57vs Predicted
-
7University of South Carolina-2.08-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.15College of Charleston2.120.9%1st Place
-
5.43Wake Forest University-2.640.0%1st Place
-
6.17University of Georgia-3.340.0%1st Place
-
2.94University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
-
3.18North Carolina State University-0.760.1%1st Place
-
4.43University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
-
4.69University of South Carolina-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliott Raison | 86.9% | 11.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Outland | 0.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 13.0% | 18.2% | 34.8% | 23.7% |
| Garrett Holt | 0.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 18.1% | 60.5% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 4.3% | 36.3% | 31.5% | 18.6% | 7.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Tucker Parks | 5.0% | 27.9% | 30.5% | 21.4% | 11.0% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 1.4% | 8.9% | 15.8% | 23.2% | 25.8% | 19.7% | 5.2% |
| Robert Gates | 1.3% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 18.3% | 28.0% | 21.7% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.