← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.12+0.15vs Predicted
-
2University of North Carolina-0.51+0.91vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University-0.76+0.18vs Predicted
-
4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76+0.44vs Predicted
-
5Wake Forest University-2.64+0.46vs Predicted
-
6University of Georgia-3.34+0.21vs Predicted
-
7University of South Carolina-2.08-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.15College of Charleston2.120.9%1st Place
-
2.91University of North Carolina-0.510.1%1st Place
-
3.18North Carolina State University-0.760.1%1st Place
-
4.44University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
-
5.46Wake Forest University-2.640.0%1st Place
-
6.21University of Georgia-3.340.0%1st Place
-
4.65University of South Carolina-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliott Raison | 86.7% | 11.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 5.5% | 36.5% | 31.6% | 16.9% | 7.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Tucker Parks | 5.1% | 28.3% | 30.3% | 21.1% | 10.3% | 4.6% | 0.3% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 0.7% | 9.5% | 15.1% | 25.1% | 25.4% | 18.3% | 5.9% |
| Mary Outland | 0.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 11.9% | 18.7% | 32.4% | 26.2% |
| Garrett Holt | 0.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 20.0% | 58.8% |
| Robert Gates | 1.3% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 18.6% | 27.6% | 22.7% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.