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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.75+8.20vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.69+3.49vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+4.58vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.40+2.35vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+5.90vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.65+3.46vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.98+1.07vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.55-2.22vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.74+0.08vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.11+1.90vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.65-1.43vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.75-2.68vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.57-3.40vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.26-3.21vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.76-2.02vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.52-5.94vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.28-5.88vs Predicted
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18Washington College0.51-4.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.2Tulane University1.750.1%1st Place
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5.49Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.58St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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6.35U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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10.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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9.46North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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8.07Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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5.78Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.08Eckerd College1.740.0%1st Place
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11.9Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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9.57Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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9.32College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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9.6Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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10.79George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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12.98University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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10.06Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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11.12Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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13.74Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Hanes | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% |
| Bridget Green | 11.1% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 7.3% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.7% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
| Chloe Holder | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 12.1% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Aili Moffet | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 10.7% |
| Emily Allen | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% |
| Grace Squires | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 19.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.6% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% |
| Kennedy Jones | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 14.3% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.