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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.75+8.23vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.69+3.52vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.40+3.57vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+3.29vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.98+3.03vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.74+3.05vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+4.02vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.57+1.67vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.65+0.41vs Predicted
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10Tulane University1.75-0.69vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.65-1.41vs Predicted
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12Washington College0.51+2.16vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.76-0.13vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.28-3.31vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.52-5.04vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.55-10.09vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.26-5.73vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College1.11-6.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.23College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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5.52Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.57U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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7.29St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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8.03Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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9.05Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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11.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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9.67Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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9.41Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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9.31Tulane University1.750.1%1st Place
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9.59North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
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14.16Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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12.87University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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10.69Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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9.96Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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5.91Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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11.27George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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11.45Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Squires | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Bridget Green | 10.3% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Chloe Holder | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Eden Nykamp | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 6.3% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Emily Allen | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Mia Hanes | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Olivia Sowa | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 13.3% | 32.8% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 17.7% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% |
| Piper Holthus | 11.6% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 7.3% |
| Aili Moffet | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.