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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.55+5.04vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.69+3.48vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.75+6.32vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.75+4.89vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+5.91vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.40+0.41vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.98+1.02vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.52+1.91vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.76+4.02vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-2.37vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.74-1.74vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.65-2.17vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.28-2.16vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.57-4.54vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University1.65-5.63vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.11-4.27vs Predicted
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17Washington College0.51-2.99vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.26-7.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.04Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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5.48Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.32College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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8.89Tulane University1.750.1%1st Place
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10.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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6.41U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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8.02Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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9.91Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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13.02University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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7.63St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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9.26Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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9.83North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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10.84Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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9.46Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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9.37Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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11.73Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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14.01Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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10.87George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Bridget Green | 11.8% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Grace Squires | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| Mia Hanes | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 9.4% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Chloe Holder | 6.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 18.6% |
| Madison Bashaw | 9.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Eden Nykamp | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Emily Allen | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 11.1% |
| Kennedy Jones | 2.1% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 29.3% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.