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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.98+7.28vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.55+4.00vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.69+2.48vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+3.30vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.52+4.91vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.75+3.04vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.75+2.02vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.74+0.98vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.57+0.75vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.40-3.38vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+0.18vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.65-2.22vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.11-1.51vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.65-4.85vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.26-3.97vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.28-4.94vs Predicted
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17Washington College0.51-2.96vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.76-5.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.28Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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6.0Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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5.48Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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9.91Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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9.04College of Charleston1.750.1%1st Place
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9.02Tulane University1.750.1%1st Place
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8.98Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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9.75Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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6.62U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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11.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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9.78Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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11.49Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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9.15North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
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11.03George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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11.06Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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14.04Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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12.87University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Holder | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Green | 13.1% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% |
| Grace Squires | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Mia Hanes | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Eden Nykamp | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% |
| Emily Allen | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% |
| Olivia Sowa | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 10.6% | 6.9% |
| Kennedy Jones | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 15.3% | 30.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.