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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+4.58vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.40+4.57vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.55+2.97vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.65+5.34vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+2.36vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+5.05vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.74+2.07vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.75+0.93vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.65+0.42vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.52+0.27vs Predicted
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11Washington College0.51+2.95vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.76+1.38vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.28-2.20vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.98-6.20vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.26-3.93vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.57-6.17vs Predicted
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17Tulane University1.75-7.87vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College1.11-6.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.58Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.57U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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5.97Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.34North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
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7.36St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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11.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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9.07Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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8.93College of Charleston1.750.1%1st Place
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9.42Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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10.27Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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13.95Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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13.38University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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10.8Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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7.8Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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11.07George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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9.83Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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9.13Tulane University1.750.1%1st Place
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11.48Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 12.2% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 11.3% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Madison Bashaw | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% |
| Eden Nykamp | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Grace Squires | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Emily Allen | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% |
| Kennedy Jones | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 15.2% | 28.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 23.4% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 5.5% |
| Chloe Holder | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% |
| Mia Hanes | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Aili Moffet | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.