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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+6.59vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.98+6.19vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.69+2.50vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.75+4.89vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.65+4.39vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.55-0.15vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.52+3.01vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.65+1.33vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.28+2.00vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.11+1.91vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.75-1.88vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.74-2.58vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.76-0.12vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.57-4.53vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.26-3.95vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-4.92vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.40-10.43vs Predicted
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18Washington College0.51-4.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.59St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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8.19Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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5.5Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.89College of Charleston1.750.1%1st Place
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9.39North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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5.85Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.01Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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9.33Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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11.0Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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11.91Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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9.12Tulane University1.750.1%1st Place
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9.42Eckerd College1.740.0%1st Place
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12.88University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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9.47Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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11.05George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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11.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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6.57U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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13.76Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Bashaw | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Chloe Holder | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% |
| Bridget Green | 12.8% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Grace Squires | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 11.6% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Emily Allen | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% |
| Aili Moffet | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.8% |
| Mia Hanes | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% |
| Eden Nykamp | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 19.7% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% |
| Heather Kerns | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.3% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 10.7% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kennedy Jones | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 15.7% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.