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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+3.67vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.09+6.99vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.81+3.57vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.99+2.14vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.97+4.64vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.79+0.48vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.77-0.86vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University-0.84+4.77vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.18+0.56vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.07-0.38vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin0.31+1.86vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.09-3.47vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University0.82-2.76vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.42-2.00vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University0.49-3.18vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00-6.26vs Predicted
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17University of Washington0.74-5.83vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67Stanford University2.6415.3%1st Place
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8.99North Carolina State University1.094.9%1st Place
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6.57College of Charleston1.819.3%1st Place
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6.14Brown University1.999.8%1st Place
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9.64Old Dominion University0.974.8%1st Place
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6.48Cornell University1.7910.1%1st Place
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6.14University of Pennsylvania1.7710.7%1st Place
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12.77Christopher Newport University-0.841.9%1st Place
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9.56U. S. Naval Academy1.184.4%1st Place
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9.62George Washington University1.073.9%1st Place
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12.86University of Wisconsin0.311.5%1st Place
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8.53University of South Florida1.095.1%1st Place
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10.24Jacksonville University0.824.2%1st Place
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12.0University of Rhode Island0.422.8%1st Place
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11.82Roger Williams University0.492.1%1st Place
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9.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.004.2%1st Place
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11.17University of Washington0.743.4%1st Place
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14.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 15.3% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Emma Tallman | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Gianna Dewey | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Sophia Devling | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Laura Smith | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 16.0% |
| Ava Farley | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 15.1% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Agija Elerte | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% |
| Katie Coughlin | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.9% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% |
| Laura Slovensky | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Erin Pamplin | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.6% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 15.2% | 29.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.