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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.79+5.78vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.27+6.92vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.67+4.22vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.50+3.60vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.48+2.77vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.50+1.72vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.33+1.43vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.39+0.10vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.88+1.31vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.02+0.05vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.23-2.03vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-3.09vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61-1.69vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.86-3.92vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.22-6.18vs Predicted
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16Columbia University2.07-2.39vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.21-3.81vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.11-4.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.78Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.92Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.22Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.6Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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7.77Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.72Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.43Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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8.1Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.31U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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10.05University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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8.97Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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11.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
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10.08University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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8.82College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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13.61Columbia University2.070.0%1st Place
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13.19Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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13.21Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Barry | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Emily Maxwell | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.0% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Morgan Wilson | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.8% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% |
| Krysta Rohde | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Katherine Gullick | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% |
| Corey Hall | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Melissa Bermudez | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 15.3% | 24.2% |
| Erica Lush | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 20.2% |
| Mia Cooper | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.