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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+4.56vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.75+7.24vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.98+5.27vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+6.87vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.52+4.90vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.28+4.95vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.65+2.38vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-0.68vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.11+2.65vs Predicted
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10Washington College0.51+4.09vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.65-1.35vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.40-5.26vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.57-3.36vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.76-1.26vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.55-9.21vs Predicted
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16Tulane University1.75-6.95vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.74-7.77vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.26-7.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.56Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.24College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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8.27Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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10.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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9.9Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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10.95Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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9.38Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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7.32St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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11.65Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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14.09Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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9.65North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
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6.74U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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9.64Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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12.74University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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5.79Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.05Tulane University1.750.0%1st Place
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9.23Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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10.94George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 13.3% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Squires | 4.5% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.2% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% |
| Emily Allen | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Madison Bashaw | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.3% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 15.6% | 30.8% |
| Olivia Sowa | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 15.7% | 16.9% |
| Piper Holthus | 11.6% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mia Hanes | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Eden Nykamp | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.