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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+6.53vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.75+7.24vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.55+3.03vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.69+1.33vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+5.90vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.40+0.36vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.74+2.06vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.26+3.01vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.52+0.94vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.57+0.05vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.98-2.77vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.65-2.21vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.65-3.72vs Predicted
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14Tulane University1.75-5.26vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.11-3.41vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.28-4.96vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.76-3.86vs Predicted
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18Washington College0.51-4.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.53St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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9.24College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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6.03Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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5.33Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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6.36U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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9.06Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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11.01George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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9.94Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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10.05Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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8.23Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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9.79Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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9.28North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
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8.74Tulane University1.750.1%1st Place
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11.59Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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11.04Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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13.14University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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13.74Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Bashaw | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Grace Squires | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Piper Holthus | 10.6% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 14.5% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Eden Nykamp | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 3.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% |
| Emily Allen | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% |
| Olivia Sowa | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Mia Hanes | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 20.9% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 26.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.