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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.98+7.27vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.75+7.20vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+4.52vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.69+1.30vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.55+0.87vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+5.03vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.74+2.06vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.40-1.71vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.11+2.68vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.57-0.02vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.65-1.53vs Predicted
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12Tulane University1.75-2.62vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.76-0.15vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.52-4.32vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.26-3.91vs Predicted
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16Washington College0.51-2.00vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.28-5.83vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.65-8.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.27Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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9.2College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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7.52St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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5.3Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.87Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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11.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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9.06Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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6.29U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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11.68Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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9.98Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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9.47Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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9.38Tulane University1.750.1%1st Place
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12.85University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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9.68Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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11.09George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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14.0Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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11.17Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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9.19North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Holder | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Grace Squires | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Madison Bashaw | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Bridget Green | 13.7% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 12.3% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% |
| Eden Nykamp | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.3% |
| Emily Allen | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Mia Hanes | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 18.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 29.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 7.3% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.