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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.40+5.56vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+5.52vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.57+7.02vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.69+1.33vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.98+3.02vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.11+5.65vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+3.97vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.75+0.88vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.52+0.98vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.55-3.92vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.65-1.44vs Predicted
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12Tulane University1.75-2.60vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.74-4.09vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University1.65-4.88vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.28-4.07vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.26-4.89vs Predicted
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17Washington College0.51-2.95vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.76-5.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.56U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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7.52St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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10.02Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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5.33Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.02Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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11.65Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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10.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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8.88College of Charleston1.750.1%1st Place
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9.98Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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6.08Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.56North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
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9.4Tulane University1.750.1%1st Place
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8.91Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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9.12Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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10.93Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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11.11George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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14.05Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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12.91University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 9.2% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| Bridget Green | 14.2% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Aili Moffet | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.6% |
| Grace Squires | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Piper Holthus | 11.6% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% |
| Mia Hanes | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% |
| Eden Nykamp | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Emily Allen | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 6.8% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 15.7% | 30.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 17.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.