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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+4.58vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.98+6.33vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.11+8.93vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.28+6.85vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+5.88vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+1.33vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.57+2.76vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.52+1.89vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.40-2.71vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.65-0.32vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.55-5.00vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.65-2.15vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.75-4.12vs Predicted
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14Tulane University1.75-5.26vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.74-5.98vs Predicted
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16Washington College0.51-2.06vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.76-3.88vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.26-7.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.58Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.33Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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11.93Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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10.85Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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10.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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7.33St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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9.76Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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9.89Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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6.29U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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9.68Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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6.0Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.85North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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8.88College of Charleston1.750.1%1st Place
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8.74Tulane University1.750.0%1st Place
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9.02Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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13.94Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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13.12University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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10.93George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 12.8% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.8% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% |
| Madison Bashaw | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Emily Allen | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 2.8% |
| Piper Holthus | 12.0% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% |
| Grace Squires | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Mia Hanes | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 14.0% | 28.8% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 20.3% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.