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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.86+5.77vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.02+8.15vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.32+2.11vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.04+1.86vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.03+0.98vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.65+1.36vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.57+0.65vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.77+2.76vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy0.86+1.48vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.22-0.74vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.46-2.73vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College-0.17+2.43vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-3.08vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.01-4.40vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.00-5.11vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University0.79-5.11vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.08-3.53vs Predicted
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18Washington College-0.61-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.77Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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10.15Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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5.11Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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5.86College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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5.98Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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7.36St. Mary's College of Maryland1.650.1%1st Place
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7.65Tulane University1.570.1%1st Place
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10.76Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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10.48U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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9.26George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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8.27North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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14.43Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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9.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.0%1st Place
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9.6Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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9.89Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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10.89Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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13.47University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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15.17Washington College-0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Kloc | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Sophia Devling | 13.0% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 12.1% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 11.9% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Leah Rickard | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Lucy Spearman | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 3.1% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Lily Schwartz | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 17.0% | 27.9% |
| Brook Wood | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Megan Geith | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 3.6% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 18.0% | 14.9% |
| Hartley Meyer | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 11.4% | 18.2% | 38.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.