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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.57+6.91vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.46+6.35vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.65+4.58vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.01+5.77vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.32-0.04vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.61+9.32vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.03-1.08vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy0.86+2.42vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+0.99vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University1.86-3.19vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.04-4.98vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.77-0.79vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.02-3.30vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.08-0.93vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College-0.17-0.81vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.22-6.88vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.00-6.95vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University0.79-7.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.91Tulane University1.570.1%1st Place
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8.35North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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7.58St. Mary's College of Maryland1.650.1%1st Place
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9.77Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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4.96Cornell University2.320.2%1st Place
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15.32Washington College-0.610.0%1st Place
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5.92Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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10.42U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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9.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.0%1st Place
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6.81Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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6.02College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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11.21Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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9.7Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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13.07University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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14.19Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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9.12George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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10.05Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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10.62Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Spearman | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Leah Rickard | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Megan Geith | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 1.9% |
| Sophia Devling | 17.2% | 14.5% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hartley Meyer | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 17.5% | 41.9% |
| Eva Ermlich | 11.3% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Brook Wood | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Riley Kloc | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 5.3% |
| Samantha Jensen | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 13.1% | 17.3% | 13.3% |
| Lily Schwartz | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 19.0% | 23.3% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.