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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.57+6.86vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.86+4.82vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.46+5.31vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.65+3.27vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.32-0.03vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.03-0.06vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy0.86+3.48vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.01+1.78vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.04-3.15vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+0.34vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.22-1.81vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.77-0.79vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.00-3.23vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.02-4.41vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University0.79-4.25vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College-0.17-1.76vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.08-3.58vs Predicted
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18Washington College-0.61-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.86Tulane University1.570.1%1st Place
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6.82Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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8.31North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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7.27St. Mary's College of Maryland1.650.1%1st Place
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4.97Cornell University2.320.2%1st Place
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5.94Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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10.48U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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9.78Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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5.85College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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10.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.0%1st Place
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9.19George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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11.21Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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9.77Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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9.59Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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10.75Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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14.24Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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13.42University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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15.19Washington College-0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Spearman | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Riley Kloc | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Leah Rickard | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Sophia Devling | 16.6% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| Megan Geith | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Emma Tallman | 9.8% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brook Wood | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 2.3% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 4.5% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Samantha Jensen | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 3.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 18.3% | 23.8% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 13.8% | 16.8% | 15.8% |
| Hartley Meyer | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 17.6% | 39.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.