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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.33+7.46vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.50+5.77vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.27+5.67vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.48+3.55vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+3.33vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.02+3.59vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61+4.22vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.86+2.12vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.50-1.55vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.39-1.74vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.67-4.03vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.88-1.52vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.40-1.03vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.23-5.59vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.79-8.63vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.11-2.75vs Predicted
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17Columbia University2.07-3.54vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.21-5.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.46Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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7.77Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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8.67Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.55Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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9.59University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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11.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
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10.12University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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7.45Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.26Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.97Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.48U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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11.97College of Charleston2.400.0%1st Place
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8.41Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.37Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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13.25Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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13.46Columbia University2.070.0%1st Place
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12.66Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Emily Maxwell | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Krysta Rohde | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% |
| Katherine Gullick | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Wilson | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Emily Lambert | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% |
| Carly Shevitz | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 12.0% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Mia Cooper | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 21.1% |
| Melissa Bermudez | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 15.3% | 23.1% |
| Erica Lush | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.