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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.77+5.29vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.61+1.76vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.81+3.58vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.79+2.83vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.07+4.44vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00+3.57vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.99-0.80vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.49+3.69vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.48+2.58vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.97-0.57vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.09-2.50vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.09-3.11vs Predicted
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13University of Washington0.74-1.76vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy1.18-4.34vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University-0.84-2.28vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island0.42-4.12vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.31-4.20vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.29University of Pennsylvania1.778.3%1st Place
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3.76Stanford University2.6121.6%1st Place
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6.58College of Charleston1.819.6%1st Place
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6.83Cornell University1.797.2%1st Place
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9.44George Washington University1.073.9%1st Place
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9.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.004.2%1st Place
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6.2Brown University1.9910.5%1st Place
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11.69Roger Williams University0.492.2%1st Place
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11.58Jacksonville University0.482.4%1st Place
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9.43Old Dominion University0.975.1%1st Place
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8.5University of South Florida1.095.5%1st Place
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8.89North Carolina State University1.095.2%1st Place
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11.24University of Washington0.742.9%1st Place
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9.66U. S. Naval Academy1.184.0%1st Place
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12.72Christopher Newport University-0.841.5%1st Place
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11.88University of Rhode Island0.422.3%1st Place
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12.8University of Wisconsin0.311.9%1st Place
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13.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 21.6% | 19.4% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Laura Slovensky | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Katharine Doble | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 7.2% |
| Gianna Dewey | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Erin Pamplin | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% |
| Ava Farley | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Laura Smith | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 14.4% |
| Katie Coughlin | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 15.9% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 27.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.