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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy0.86+10.00vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.65+5.85vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.77+8.52vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.46+4.30vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.71+2.35vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.86+0.89vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.08+3.01vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.03-1.79vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.22+0.36vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.00+0.56vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.32-5.65vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.04-5.48vs Predicted
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13Tulane University1.57-5.12vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.57-2.32vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-4.65vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.01-5.72vs Predicted
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17Washington College-0.61-1.38vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College-0.17-3.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.0U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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7.85St. Mary's College of Maryland1.650.1%1st Place
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11.52Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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8.3North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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7.35Tufts University1.710.1%1st Place
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6.89Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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10.01Jacksonville University1.080.0%1st Place
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6.21Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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9.36George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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10.56Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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5.35Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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6.52College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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7.88Tulane University1.570.1%1st Place
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11.68University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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10.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.0%1st Place
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10.28Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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15.62Washington College-0.610.0%1st Place
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14.29Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aubin Hattendorf | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 3.9% |
| Leah Rickard | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 5.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Annika Fedde | 7.9% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Riley Kloc | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| Eva Ermlich | 9.8% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 2.5% |
| Sophia Devling | 14.1% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Spearman | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 6.3% |
| Brook Wood | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Megan Geith | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| Hartley Meyer | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 16.5% | 47.6% |
| Lily Schwartz | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 20.5% | 23.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.