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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.46+7.82vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.03+4.54vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+7.74vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.57+3.97vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.00+5.28vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.32-0.59vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.04-0.68vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.71-0.52vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.22+0.52vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.37-4.59vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.08-0.79vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.01-1.33vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.77-1.85vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.57-2.28vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.65-7.29vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy0.86-5.01vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College-0.17-2.39vs Predicted
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18Washington College-0.61-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.82North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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6.54Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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10.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.0%1st Place
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7.97Tulane University1.570.1%1st Place
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10.28Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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5.41Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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6.32College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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7.48Tufts University1.710.1%1st Place
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9.52George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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5.41Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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10.21Jacksonville University1.080.0%1st Place
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10.67Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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11.15Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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11.72University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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7.71St. Mary's College of Maryland1.650.1%1st Place
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10.99U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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14.61Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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15.46Washington College-0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella du Plessis | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brook Wood | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 2.7% |
| Lucy Spearman | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
| Sophia Devling | 12.0% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Annika Fedde | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Kelly Bates | 14.5% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Megan Geith | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 2.3% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 4.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 7.0% |
| Leah Rickard | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 3.8% |
| Lily Schwartz | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 12.6% | 20.1% | 28.2% |
| Hartley Meyer | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 17.8% | 43.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.