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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.32+4.57vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.65+5.99vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.04+3.46vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.08+5.94vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.57+3.03vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.00+4.39vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.01+3.31vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.37-2.82vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.46-0.53vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.03-3.40vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-0.32vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.71-4.10vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy0.86-2.17vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.77-2.99vs Predicted
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15Washington College-0.61+0.56vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.57-3.81vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College-0.17-2.40vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.22-8.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.57Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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7.99St. Mary's College of Maryland1.650.1%1st Place
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6.46College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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9.94Jacksonville University1.080.0%1st Place
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8.03Tulane University1.570.1%1st Place
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10.39Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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10.31Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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5.18Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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8.47North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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6.6Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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10.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.0%1st Place
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7.9Tufts University1.710.1%1st Place
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10.83U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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11.01Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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15.56Washington College-0.610.0%1st Place
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12.19University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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14.6Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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9.31George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Devling | 12.8% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leah Rickard | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Emma Tallman | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Agija Elerte | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Lucy Spearman | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 2.4% |
| Megan Geith | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Kelly Bates | 13.8% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 9.5% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brook Wood | 4.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.8% |
| Annika Fedde | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 3.1% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 3.8% |
| Hartley Meyer | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 9.9% | 17.1% | 44.3% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 7.1% |
| Lily Schwartz | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 12.5% | 19.6% | 28.4% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.