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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.33+1.50vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+2.47vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30+2.26vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.60-0.50vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.56+0.52vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.74-2.68vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-0.07-3.16vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.37-2.17vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.91-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5University of Rhode Island1.330.3%1st Place
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4.47Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.1%1st Place
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5.26University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.1%1st Place
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3.5Boston University0.600.2%1st Place
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5.52Bates College-0.560.1%1st Place
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3.32Northeastern University0.740.2%1st Place
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4.84Salve Regina University-0.070.1%1st Place
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6.83Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
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8.77University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Strobridge | 33.8% | 25.4% | 17.2% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 8.1% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 12.1% | 5.5% | 0.4% |
| Kate Myler | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 18.7% | 20.4% | 12.5% | 1.0% |
| John Cabell | 17.4% | 19.0% | 17.2% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Greta Shuster | 5.1% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 15.9% | 21.7% | 17.5% | 2.2% |
| Oliver Dietter | 19.0% | 18.8% | 18.7% | 17.2% | 13.4% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sean Crandall | 8.1% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 17.9% | 18.2% | 16.1% | 7.5% | 0.7% |
| William Procter | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 17.1% | 48.8% | 5.8% |
| Alan Andonian | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 5.6% | 89.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.