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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.33+1.52vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.60+1.76vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30+2.28vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University-0.07+0.70vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-0.87vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.74-2.67vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.56-2.32vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.37-2.18vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.91-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52University of Rhode Island1.330.3%1st Place
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3.76Boston University0.600.1%1st Place
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5.28University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.1%1st Place
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4.7Salve Regina University-0.070.1%1st Place
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4.13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.1%1st Place
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3.33Northeastern University0.740.2%1st Place
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5.68Bates College-0.560.1%1st Place
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6.82Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
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8.78University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Strobridge | 33.5% | 25.2% | 17.1% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Cabell | 13.2% | 16.5% | 17.4% | 17.2% | 16.9% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Kate Myler | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 19.5% | 20.7% | 12.3% | 1.1% |
| Sean Crandall | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 8.0% | 0.2% |
| Andy Leshaw | 11.9% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Dietter | 19.2% | 18.5% | 19.1% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Greta Shuster | 5.4% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 18.4% | 24.0% | 17.6% | 2.0% |
| William Procter | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 18.2% | 46.8% | 6.6% |
| Alan Andonian | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 5.7% | 89.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.