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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.68+4.28vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.44+8.67vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.42+6.89vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.16+3.13vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+3.70vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.48+0.27vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.37+0.50vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.30+1.13vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+0.43vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.57-3.80vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.79-2.30vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62-2.76vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.40-6.68vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College0.85-2.69vs Predicted
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15Florida State University0.37-1.54vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.52-1.10vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan-0.26-1.60vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.07-6.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.28Tulane University2.6813.0%1st Place
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10.67George Washington University1.443.0%1st Place
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9.89University of Rhode Island1.423.8%1st Place
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7.13University of Pennsylvania2.168.6%1st Place
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8.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.134.2%1st Place
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6.27Harvard University2.4810.8%1st Place
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7.5Brown University2.377.6%1st Place
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9.13Webb Institute1.303.9%1st Place
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9.43St. Mary's College of Maryland1.794.9%1st Place
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6.2U. S. Naval Academy2.5710.5%1st Place
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8.7Cornell University1.795.9%1st Place
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9.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.624.8%1st Place
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6.32Roger Williams University2.4010.7%1st Place
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11.31Eckerd College0.852.8%1st Place
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13.46Florida State University0.371.6%1st Place
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14.9Connecticut College0.520.7%1st Place
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15.4University of Michigan-0.260.7%1st Place
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11.48Northeastern University1.072.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Ebbin | 13.0% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Jackson McAliley | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| JJ Klempen | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Blake Behrens | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Everett Botwinick | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Landon Cormie | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Henry Allgeier | 10.5% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| William Kulas | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 4.2% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 17.1% | 15.2% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 21.3% | 29.6% |
| Jack Hammett | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 20.0% | 38.9% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.