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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.67+6.05vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.27+6.72vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+5.59vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.50+3.44vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.50+2.58vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.39+1.99vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.79-0.57vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.02+1.45vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.23-0.42vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.86+0.46vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.88-0.72vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61-0.34vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.40-1.04vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.33-6.04vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.48-7.45vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.21-3.13vs Predicted
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17Columbia University2.07-3.59vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.11-5.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.05Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.72Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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8.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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7.44Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.58Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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7.99Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.43Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.45University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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8.58Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.46University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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10.28U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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11.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
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11.96College of Charleston2.400.0%1st Place
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7.96Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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7.55Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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12.87Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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13.41Columbia University2.070.0%1st Place
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13.0Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Lambert | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Krysta Rohde | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Claire Dennis | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Emily Maxwell | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Morgan Wilson | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.4% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% |
| Katherine Gullick | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 8.6% |
| Carly Shevitz | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.8% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Erica Lush | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 18.4% |
| Melissa Bermudez | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 15.5% | 22.7% |
| Mia Cooper | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 17.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.