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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.77+5.26vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.61+1.78vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.99+3.15vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.07+5.38vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.81+1.66vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.18+3.61vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.09+1.90vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.09+0.55vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University0.97+0.57vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.49+1.79vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.79-4.44vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10+2.14vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00-3.22vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University0.48-2.65vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University-0.84-2.26vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.31-3.23vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island0.42-5.13vs Predicted
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18University of Washington0.74-6.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.26University of Pennsylvania1.778.8%1st Place
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3.78Stanford University2.6121.3%1st Place
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6.15Brown University1.9910.9%1st Place
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9.38George Washington University1.073.9%1st Place
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6.66College of Charleston1.818.2%1st Place
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9.61U. S. Naval Academy1.184.6%1st Place
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8.9North Carolina State University1.095.2%1st Place
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8.55University of South Florida1.094.9%1st Place
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9.57Old Dominion University0.974.0%1st Place
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11.79Roger Williams University0.492.2%1st Place
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6.56Cornell University1.799.3%1st Place
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14.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.4%1st Place
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9.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.003.6%1st Place
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11.35Jacksonville University0.482.8%1st Place
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12.74Christopher Newport University-0.841.7%1st Place
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12.77University of Wisconsin0.311.9%1st Place
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11.87University of Rhode Island0.422.4%1st Place
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11.14University of Washington0.742.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 8.8% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 21.3% | 20.1% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Emma Tallman | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ava Farley | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Gianna Dewey | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% |
| Sophia Devling | 9.3% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 14.7% | 28.5% |
| Laura Slovensky | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.6% |
| Laura Smith | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 14.3% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 15.2% |
| Katie Coughlin | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.