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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.33+1.52vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+2.48vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.60+0.69vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.74-0.70vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.56+0.59vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-0.71vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.07-2.14vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.44-0.75vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-1.37-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52University of Rhode Island1.330.3%1st Place
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4.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.1%1st Place
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3.69Boston University0.600.2%1st Place
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3.3Northeastern University0.740.2%1st Place
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5.59Bates College-0.560.0%1st Place
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5.29University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.1%1st Place
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4.86Salve Regina University-0.070.1%1st Place
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8.25University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.440.0%1st Place
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7.04Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Strobridge | 33.0% | 26.5% | 15.9% | 12.1% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 8.2% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 5.8% | 1.3% |
| John Cabell | 16.0% | 15.7% | 18.2% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 6.7% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Dietter | 19.8% | 20.7% | 17.3% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Greta Shuster | 4.9% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 21.2% | 16.1% | 6.0% |
| Kate Myler | 6.9% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 16.5% | 20.6% | 12.3% | 2.9% |
| Sean Crandall | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 17.4% | 18.1% | 14.4% | 9.2% | 1.1% |
| Carissa Keung | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 15.1% | 69.2% |
| William Procter | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 38.1% | 19.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.